Environment

The Future – the Facts

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What the future will be like is a contentious issue, as it is not about what has been, but what might happen.

There are those who choose to deny it, who find it overwhelming or depressing, who stick their heads in the sand and conversely, those who are moved to agitate about it. Which ever side of the Climate Change debate you sit upon, certain things cannot be denied and are fact.

Facts on Climate Change

  • Rising global temperatures due to Industrialization are destabilizing weather systems
  • Ice shields in Greenland and Antartica are melting and destabilizing weather systems
  • Sea levels are rising and threatening coastal and island communities
  • Extreme weather events of all varieties are rapidly increasing
  • Deforestation and habitat loss is causing a mass extinction of animal and plant species at an unprecedented level since the Dinosaur era.

Before any climate change denier or sceptic raises the point that climate change isn’t real and it’s nature doing what it normally does, global climate does, without doubt vary from year to year, decade to decade; global warming and cooling does occur naturally, but it is the UNPRECEDENTED INCREASE IN RATE of CLIMATE CHANGE that is directly attributed to ADVERSE human activity and is not sustainable.

The world as we know it could not and will not sustain more than a 2 degree rise in global temperature without dire climatic consequences.

But there is hope.

Not the faint-hearted ostrich like mentality that technology will inevitably safe us from ourselves and our environmental problems if only we wait and recycle our goods more, but hope that we can come together in an effective and collaborative global response to this human-caused threat.

Hope based on Action.

Once we act, hope is everywhere.

Greta Thunberg

Because it is a problem, caused by humans. By us. So we can fix this.

Communicating Climate Facts to the Public

The Hollywood Mad Max type future portrayed in some apocalyptic movies generates only fear, guilt, anger despair, is not at all helpful and can result in many turning a deaf ear to conversations on action or acknowledgement of climate change.

Instead, as Rebecca Huntley believes, it is inspiring to read and to see stories of hope, of action, of people overcoming odds and succeeding in small ways to making changes at a local level changing their lifestyle and damaging habits. Renewal of ecosystems, caring and nurturing animal and plant species and systems, environmentally friendly options and products, less emphasis on fossil fuels and their products.

According to Per Espen Stoknes educating people is a good first step, but it may never be enough. Presenting facts on global warming has so far not sufficiently convinced policymakers and journalists of the scale of the problem, nor the sense of urgency around it.

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Climate Science

Part of the problem is that this issue is conceptually complex and the descriptions reflect a potential and somewhat vague future, not a tangible, direct event that people can see and identify.

Climate Scientists have known about these predictions since 1979 and lament that the physics and conversations have not changed, that they are simply updating the data. Yet nothing was done by Governments.

University Science students, like me, were lectured on global warming back in the 1980’s and yet, no one in the community or Government was interested in listening.

it no longer seems rational to assume that humanity, encountering an existential threat, will behave rationally.”

Nat Rich (Journalist)

To me that is a concern. A grave concern.

Are you concerned?

Do you tune out on the issue of Climate change?

Do you have hope?

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51 thoughts on “The Future – the Facts”

  1. Do I tune out ? – shit no !! Even though I know from the experiences of talking with people that some of ’em are locked in to their beliefs about “cyclic” occurrences, These people are not going to be won ’round, no matter what – like Republicans refusing to disown tRump. “It no longer seems rational to assume that humanity, encountering an existential threat, will behave rationally” – he’s spot on.
    But there are enough of us who accept what we’ve done, and who will reach out to do anything we can that will help.
    Yes, I’m bloody concerned, Amanda; but yes, I have hope.

    Liked by 7 people

    1. Good to hear, Margaret Rose. I am especially heartened when people such as yourself respond with such enthusiasm for change and want to help. Goodonya. We will drag the sceptics kicking and screaming into this century!

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    1. Yes we are all living on this one planet. I can understand their denial and fears, but it wouldn’t hurt them to listen to and study the climate science. Even if there was some chance they were wrong about climate change, would it hurt to be more ecologically friendly to the planet?

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  2. I’m concerned that the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is only a precursor – a preview, if you will – to a much greater virological calamity. I know something like the 14th century bubonic plague or the 1918 Spanish flu is lurking in either the bloodstream of humanity or the body of an animal. With a much greater global population now – as people move further into previously-undeveloped areas – we’re strapped to an unstoppable train racing towards biological doom.

    In some cynical, perhaps cruel way, I think that may be best for the planet as a whole. I don’t see a problem with it. It’s inevitable. There are too many people on Earth right now and all of them collectively need too much food and water and generate too much trash. It may be the natural world’s only means to reestablish itself as supreme commander of Earth.

    In battles against nature, humanity always loses – sooner or later.

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Nature is always triumphant, Alejandro. You and I know that. Humanity is a minor player in the universe. Whilst it may be inevitable, it would be nice if we could take care of our resident planet whilst we are here. It is important that I leave it in as good a shape as is in my power to do so. That may be because I have children, although it is highly unlikely I will ever have any grandchildren, so perhaps it is not so relevant.

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    1. They seem to have deafened ears, Peggy. Too much focus on economy and business. They leave it to the Almighty to sort the planet. The only time Scomo will take it seriously is if there is other benefits in it for him. We are the only country to introduce and then repeal carbon tax legislation.

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  3. Amanda, one of the uphill battles is the number of peer reviewed scientific websites for climate change issues is dwarfed by those funded by the fossil fuel industries to deny, discredit, diffuse, diminish and defray the science. When I hear hoaxers say that the scientists are in it for the money, I find this amusing as no other industry has been more subsidized than the fossil fuel industries with multiple trillions of dollars.

    What is interesting is Shell had a twenty-five minute documentary they published for educational purposes back in the 1990s, but they now disown it. Before Exxon and others fossil fuel firms hired the same PR firm the tobacco industry used to tell us nicotine was not addictive, Exxon scientists used to make speeches about climate change in the 1980s and 1990s. Their materials were used in discovery in a court case against Exxon.

    The move to renewable energy is well passed the tipping point. Renewables are now on par or less than coal fired energy and are cleaner than natural gas which leaks methane and uses a huge amount of water, another major concern.

    Good things are happening, they just need to be accelerated. And, a neat example is there in Australia – where a French company used Chinese made solar panels with American made battery storage to power southern Australia. And, the best science on tidal energy is off the shores of Scotland and two of the biggest wind mill turbine producers are an American company and German company.

    Keith

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    1. The fossil fuel industry is like a dying cockroach – thrashing its legs and trying to wreak havoc before it dies. They often spread outright lies to the media. Exxon is a despicable company and I am not surprised to hear that PR firm is without any conscience.
      On the other hand, I love to hear that you concur we are well passed the tipping point in takeup of renewables. With markets like China and to a lesser extent, India taking up solar energy and other renewables, the demand for coal (which Australia relied on for many years) will wither and die and not too soon. I am sad for the country towns in my state that were built on the back of mining coal, and are now close to ghost towns. Even so, they allow corrupt companies like Adani from India to create a new coal mine under the pretext of creating new jobs in a town desperate for employment opportunities. There will be less than 200 jobs as the mine will be highly automated and in addition use up much of the precious and limited water resources in that region.
      Frakking has caused some concerns here in the farming community re-water use in dry country – is that what you were alluding to?
      Yes, Elon Musk is also involved with the South Australian power initiative. I hope it will expand into other states. We have so much sunshine here it is madness to not expand the industry. Residential uptake of solar energy has phenomenal. in my new estate, there are only a handful of homes without solar installed.
      That is good news.
      I am interested to hear more about the advances of Tidal energy. Being an island nation, it would be great if that was viable.

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      1. Amanda, thanks. Creating a new coal plant makes no sense. Many renewables are now cheaper than coal to produce and coal is the bad gift that keeps on giving. Maintaining coal ash ponds adds risk and costs money. Here in the US, TVA had a major coal ash breach as did Duke Energy. The Duke plant had been closed for years and it still had coal ash accident. Duke also just settled for $1.1 billion to clean up coal ash sites that were leeching into water systems. By the way, outside of jumbo shrimp, the biggest oxymoron is clean coal. Keith

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      2. PS – Amanda, I reposted an old post on an excellent documentary called “Ice of Fire” about actions to address climate change. I hope you can take a peek at it. It was produced by Leonardo di Caprio. who narrates it.

        Liked by 1 person

  4. Hear, hear! Excellent post. Climate change is something my husband and I take very seriously, and while we are far from perfect, we try to live our lives accordingly. We don’t fly, we don’t eat meat, and we limit our driving to mostly doing errands around town once a week. And I do have hope that we will manage to avert the very worst effects of the climate catastrophe. Actually, makes me hopeful to read posts like this.

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    1. I am thrilled to hear that my post gave you hope and that you are already living an earth friendly way of life in many ways, Laurie. Well done. Spread the word and keep leading by example. Do you find people in your own community doing the same?

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    1. Thank you for the vote of confidence in our humanity and its ability to overcome this. Education is vitally important as is awareness. We cannot sit back on our laurels and wait for technology to come up with a solution to save us from every environmental problem. Unfortunately, technology won’t help much with habitat loss or species extinction.
      Just today I heard about scores of baby turtles being washed up near the turtle rookeries off the coast of Rockhampton in our states, choking on plastic. One 3 inch turtle managed to defecate a piece of cling-wrap like plastic that was 2 inches by 0.5 inch (5 x 2 cm) – a huge lump of plastic in such a little creature! {Plastic resembles the jellyfish that the turtles eat.} There must be so much plastic in the ocean offshore it is choking the baby turtles when they swim out to sea. More awareness is needed for these kinds of issues.
      Keep spreading the word, Donna and thank you for reading and commenting.

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  5. I wish I was more hopeful. Humans tend to ignore problems until they become almost insurmountable (just look at the initial (non)response to the pandemic).I fear that we will leave a very sick planet to future generations. That doesn’t mean that I’ve thrown up my hands, though.

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    1. I think you are right that the planet will be in a much worse state when we leave it than when we found it. We just have to look at the global maps of how the world is warming to see that it is not a natural process alone, but one that is exacerbated and directly correlated with man’s activities. We all need to do out part in pressuring our local politicians to do more. Much more. Why do we ignore – until things are desperate?

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  6. I think one of the silver linings of the pandemic has been the undeniable observation of the startling changes in the pollution in such a short time: striking reductions in air and water pollution, bluer skies, mountain ranges seen for the first time in decades, dolphins returning to Venice. It’s like Mother Nature is saying “see how easy this really could be!” Maybe not easy, but attainable, fixable.

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    1. That is a great point, Dorothy and you are right. Everyone here noticed the many more stars visible in the sky at night. I loved hearing about animals taking over market squares in cities! Dolphins in Venice. It does give us hope that things are reversible to some extent. And yes, it wasn’t hard. We just had to have a pandemic to stop us from destructive activities for a minute. Here in Australia, where there is no Covid, or very little, things have resumed as before. That is a little disappointing.

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  7. The present government and acceptance of climate change are a contradiction.
    Remember how the week-end of towing boats and going fishing was going to be ruined by electric cars? Morrison and his cohorts are horse and buggy lovers.
    I have every square meter of my roof covered in solar panels. Not an easy task to achieve in Strata Titled properties!
    Australia, because of its generous supply of sun, is in a unique position to lead and not drag the chain as is now the case.
    A very good post!

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    1. Well done negotiating the Strata Title and getting your Solar panels. Almost every home in my estate has solar panels installed. Such a change from 10 years ago. A positive change. Coal is dying yet the fossil fuel lobby clings to power through buying favours via political donations. And the sabotaging of a good policy on Electric car indicates how easily the Australian public was hoodwinked. Scotty from marketing strikes again. Unconsciencable.

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  8. Environmental issues are a major concern as we all are affected. The recent glacial disaster in the Himalayan state of Uttarakhand in India is a wake up call not to mess with natural resources.

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    1. Indeed, Travtrails. I am afraid natural disaster will become more common as the planet warms up. The tundra melts and the warmer waters affects the temperature gradient in the oceans. This mean wilder weather and potential disruption of the jet stream that makes living in Europe in winter milder. Catastrophes will continue unless there is something to halt this. Mother Earth will survive in some form, but will we?

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  9. Just watched “An Inconvenient Truth” with host Al Gore for the second time. His incredible data was released in 2005. After 15 years it would be easy to despair on our earth recovering from all the civilized abuse. And population vs resources isn’t helping either.
    Art

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    1. 15 years and we haven’t progressed very far. But then I learnt all this in the 1980’s – 40 years ago. In 40 years, things have gotten worse and much more progress is needed and quickly.
      Good point to mention population growth and how much is sustainable. When we look at history, competition for resources has not resulted in nice events. The future needs informed, educated and collaborative people. I have not seen Al Gore’s film but I have heard it. I must try to access it.

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  10. I do not tune out climate change. I read about it and it’s a reality. My brother is a farmer and he is adapting his way of farming around climate change. Farmers have to to survive in the long run.

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    1. Farmers can and should lead the way in environmental reform. For some reason, this doesn’t always happen. I don’t know why. In Australia, many farmers deny climate change! When the land is their bread and butter.

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  11. Climate change is a reality. Whilst I cannot change the world, I can change my backyard. Which is what we have been doing & I have heard of a few farmers changing the way they do things which is a relief.(My heart goes out to those farmers who have lost that part of their heritage). For us, if I can live by example & people can see the changes when they drive by our land that is exciting we are by no means there yet as far as living off the land (unfortunately money doesn’t grow on trees, lol) but we are seeing real change in the little echo systems in the yard. Our own little climate change is fun.

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  12. Hey Linda, Well done on doing what you can in your back yard. Hopefully this will influence others in your area to do the same and succeed in it. It sounds like you are well on the way to reaching your goal of living off the land.
    I love that you have heard that farmers are learning that this is real and taking action. Many are walking off their land, as you alluded. It is terribly sad, but change is difficult and if they cannot adapt they must leave.

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  13. Yes, I am concerned. No, I do not tune out. I write about climate change and the politics of it a lot, and I’ve been trying to find ways to focus on the hope rather than the hopelessness. It can be challenging when people still ask, “Do you believe in climate change?” I always respond the same way: that is no longer a valid question. Climate change is. The only question is what we’re all going to do about it, individually and collectively.

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    1. Well said. Climate is a fact! I plan to write a few more posts on this topic shortly. I would love to to write a guest post on this topic, for me, if you have time?

      Liked by 1 person

      1. Wow. I am flattered. And I accept. Thank you. What parameters should I keep in mind? May I also post it on my own blog? Martin Fredricks

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      2. You can post a link and pingback or an abridged version on your blog, definitely !
        Better for SEO not to duplicate it entirely.
        You can send it my email via my contact page. About 500 words is great if that suits?

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  14. I think in this money money money age we live in the only way things will change if it becomes more profitable to actually do things to save the planet, rather than poison it. I think it’s great we recycle and all do our bit but what can be done with massive companies and countries pumping out huge amounts of crap into the atmosphere?

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    1. The multinational companies have vast resources to mitigate any coercion to pay for the pollutants they produce. They pay very little tax and stand firm on the principle that they are upholding the country’s economy and jobs and the public needs them so the government kowtows to their every want. Combine that with the propaganda they often disseminate – fossil fuel industry to name one and the situation is dreadful. This is something Government policy needs to tackle, but emissions tax are unpopular with the voting electorate.

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      1. I wish I could say things will really change but I can’t see it. Maybe when we are up to our necks in water or baking in heat people might just change their minds. The future is looking bleak at the moment.

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      2. Indeed but there are positive things happening too. We need to focus on spreading the word about the things we can do to reverse or ameliorate climate change. I have just written a post about this.

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